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Tom Watson: Of Sidewalks and Fairy Tales
On Wednesday, Rep. Lois Capps, D-Santa Barbara, and 1st District Santa Barbara County Supervisor Salud Carbajal attended the Summerland ribbon cutting for the sidewalk and crosswalk funded by the American Recovery & Reinvestment Act, otherwise known as the “stimulus.” Rep. Capps made much of the notion that projects like these are key to turning our economy around and are important to the future of our country.

That notion strikes me as quite odd, and given the state of our national finances it seems worthy of further discussion. I will assume Mrs. Capps arrives at these conclusions by subscribing to Keynesian spending notions, i.e., that government deficit spending can drive economic growth. An interesting theory to be sure, but unfortunately the evidence of this actually working in real life is quite thin. We tried it during the Great Depression and it didn’t work. The Japanese tried it during their “Lost Decade” of the 1990s, yet they still continue to struggle for growth and now face a debt of 200 percent of their GDP. We have racked up almost $1 trillion in extra debt for our own recent experiment known as the “stimulus” and predictably it has yielded little but a massive new bill for our children and grandchildren to pay back.
Let’s explore why. If government spending could drive growth and end recessions, the government could just spend its way out of any economic slowdown. Obviously that is not the case. Economic fundamentals, the business cycle and many other things outside of government control are the primary driving factors in our economy.
On a more microeconomic level, if one follows a dollar through the system, we can quickly see how this theory Mrs. Capps apparently subscribes to cannot possibly work or will at best be horribly inefficient. Every dollar that is sent to or borrowed by our government instantly turns into about 79 cents to cover the cost of government itself. In the case of the “stimulus,” the government sends out the remainder in politically directed projects like our Summerland sidewalk.
This is a temporary effort that will not yield any sustainable revenue and permanent profit-producing jobs. It looks nice, but wasn’t a must-have. It might be a good deal for the few people who temporarily worked on it, but at what cost? Was that the best use of our money? On the other hand, a dollar left in the private sector will turn into $1.05 or so as businesses invest and grow and create self-sustaining, profit-producing jobs based upon market needs. Where would you invest? I don’t know about you, but $1.05 sounds a lot better than 79 cents.
What our government, and apparently also Rep. Capps, doesn’t seem to understand is that government is an overhead expense. It can’t create productive, self-sustaining, revenue- and profit-producing jobs — jobs that pay taxes and create value and wealth. Wealth creation is a pre-condition to prosperity. Every government job or government program has to be paid for by taking money out of the private sector, where it is no longer at work creating more economic growth. Our money in essence is turning into only 79 cents instead of $1.05 when the government gets its hands on it. We are growing the public sector at the expense of the private sector, and that is a recipe for disaster. Ask our friends in Greece.
While our new Summerland sidewalk is nice, is this really the best use of borrowed money when our country has compiled such massive debt that our very prosperity and financial future are endangered? To answer that question, I took my young son down there to show him what he had just paid for with his future earnings. He wasn’t impressed.
— Tom Watson is a Republican congressional candidate in Tuesday’s primary election.
Comments
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» on 06.05.10 @ 07:43 PM
Well said Tom.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 10:59 AM
First of all, I don’t have any specific feelings about the Summerland sidewalk project, but I noticed that Mr. Watson’s statistics are woefully incorrect. Investment in infrastructure yields a significant benefit to the economy and resultant spending. I wish there was more of it in the ARRA (Stimulus) legislation.
In terms of what doesn’t work, I think Mr. Watson is advocating for tax cuts, again. Really? If we haven’t figured out by now that Reaganomics and tax cuts only serve to redistribute wealth and eliminate the middle class, well I don’t think we can help Mr. Watson. I certainly won’t vote for him.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 11:53 AM
Since no economic slow down since the great depression has gone without greater government spending and we have emerged from all of those downturns - especially with the great government spending of WWII - the opposite is proven.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 12:00 PM
Just a tip for someone who wants to be an elected representative for southern Santa Barbara County: learn which county supervisors represent which districts. Carbajal is the First District, not the Third.
How did that trickle-down economics work last time?
[Noozhawk’s note: That was Noozhawk’s error while adding hyperlinks.]
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» on 06.06.10 @ 02:20 PM
That’s OK Tom. Let me handle this. Keynesian theory sounds good, and it would be nice if it made sense, but it has a rather glaring logical fallacy. It overlooks the fact that, in the real world, government can’t inject money into the economy without first taking money out of the economy. Put more bluntly, Keynesianism only looks at one-half of the equation. It conveniently ignores the fact that any money that the government puts in the economy’s right pocket is money that is first removed from the economy’s left pocket. As such, there is no increase in what Keynesians refer to as aggregate demand. The bottom line is that Keynesianism doesn’t boost national income, it merely redistributes it.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 07:07 PM
Well said Dan. What Keynesians and most leftist still don’t realize is that moving wealth around does not make more wealth. Population growth does not make wealth either. Wealth is made when energy and material are input to an economic system. The energy put in must exceed the energy required to extract, process and redistribute it and there must be a time benefit to that energy, i.e. it must liberate human energy output to be used for other value added exploits. The material added to an economy must also exceed the material consumed to extract, refine and produce goods and those goods must yield greater abundance of human freedom. Agriculture is wealth producing in the same way. Our manufacturing combines the fruits of intellect with abundant material and energy to produce added wealth.
That is about as simple as I can make it for all you who think a job is just a job. Bankers, lawyers, accountants, salesmen, marketers, doctors, brokers, real estate, politicians, as valuable as all these professions are they do not add wealth to an economy any more than building a damned sidewalk. These are all example of middle men or wealth movers, not makers.
Need more understanding? Look at the docks in Long Beach my friends. We still import more than we make. Look at our national debt, public and private, now somewhere in the neighborhood of $50 trillion. As Dan pointed out, government spending means less wealth for wealth creation, like mining and manufacturing. Until you do the work (expend the energy) or provide the energy to do the work no wealth is made and importing material or grown goods requires expense.
Get it through your heads people the damned party is over. 50 years of deficit living is done. The great plan to clean up our industry by simply allowing other countries to do dirty manufacturing for us is a failure and now we have to pay. 30 years of letting others provide our energy is over as well and you are not going to make it up with wind mills.
If you value the time and intellectual pursuits cheap energy and the wealth we have borrowed has brought you my liberal friends then you better come of your Keynesian high and get your butt back to work.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 08:44 PM
“» Daniel Petry on 06.06.10 @ 02:20 PM
That’s OK Tom. Let me handle this. Keynesian theory sounds good, and it would be nice if it made sense, but it has a rather glaring logical fallacy. It overlooks the fact that, in the real world, government can’t inject money into the economy without first taking money out of the economy. Put more bluntly, Keynesianism only looks at one-half of the equation. It conveniently ignores the fact that any money that the government puts in the economy’s right pocket is money that is first removed from the economy’s left pocket. As such, there is no increase in what Keynesians refer to as aggregate demand. The bottom line is that Keynesianism doesn’t boost national income, it merely redistributes it.”
And redistributes it very well, from those with so much excess capital that they would stash it away in government bonds to those so broke they spend every cent and more. Voila, increased demand.
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» on 06.06.10 @ 09:32 PM
“What Keynesians and most leftist still don’t realize is that moving wealth around does not make more wealth.” You reduce them to idiots here which they are not, of course just moving wealth around doesn’t make more wealth, but by your words you implicate either your intent to deceive or true lack of understanding. It is and always has been WHAT is done with that wealth. Just because people have wealth doesn’t mean they are starting or financing new mines or factories. Putting money in the hands of people who will demand goods will cause others to create and provide them.
Do you cut your own hair? If you broke a bone would you set it yourself? Do you do your own taxes? If someone sues you are you going to represent yourself? Your definition for the ultimate value of goods - ” must yield greater abundance of human freedom” - is exactly what these services provide. So that “greater abundance of human freedom” puts services on the same par as goods, especially when performed by specialists who are much more efficient and competent than you or me.
But much of what was in the last post is just reactionary dribble to small bits of information misinterpreted. A small amount of knowledge can be very dangerous. What you, my Tea Party friend need to get through your skull is that yes, the party is over. How long can our works continue to make even the hourly minimum wage when 70% of the rest of the world is willing to make that for a day. Our ostentatious standard of living is going to end. Free trade is and will do this, as will our diminishment to much bigger country economies. It won’t matter how much protectionism you put in place, the adjustment is inevitable. Only the timing and distribution of pain can possibly be managed.
Lastly, by the ultimate definition of value - the market - those street improvements in Summerland have created wealth over and above the aesthetic and public mobility values. They have added desirability to a commercial neighborhood and a residential neighborhood. By doing that demand has been marginally increased for those properties and therefore their value. Wealth has been created, both public and private, by using money for a public good - and likely many times the cost. That’s money well spent.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 07:18 AM
Well said Tom.
Lois and Nancy Pelosi want to do for us what the Leftists did for Greece- Lots of government inspired spending and government union jobs. All the debt finally catches up with the economy. If you want Greece’s future, vote for Lois. If you want to avoid an even worse financial disaster, vote for Tom Watson…Its pretty simple…
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» on 06.07.10 @ 08:29 AM
The people who lend the money to government generally are not the same people who get money in their pockets because of the new spending or tax rebates, but that’s not important. The Keynesian theory is based on the notion that there will be an increase in overall spending power, yet that clearly is not the case. Some advocates get a bit more creative and say that Keynesianism works because it increases consumer spending rather than the money sitting idle. But money that is unspent by consumers does not sit idle. It winds up in the banking system someplace and is used to finance investment spending. So-called stimulus programs, at best, shift how national income is used so that more gets consumed rather than invested, but at noted earlier, there is no increase in overall economic output.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 09:24 AM
Ezzyme, your response to my post indicates a common lack of comprehension. Wealth in the context I have used it is not personal wealth. The wealth I speak of is economic wealth or the value of your whole economy. Certainly a bank can generate an enormous amount of personal wealth while the entire economy is going broke (such as is the case right now). The personal wealth that bank has made is at the expense of other parts of the economy just as Dan’s comment about the government removing wealth from the economy through taxes to have something to spend. The case I am making is we as a sovereign country must start making wealth, not personal, but value added. We are not $50 trillion in the hole because we are prosperous and adding economic value. We are in the hole because we, as a country, spend more than we earn, period.
The only way to earn more is by producing our own cheap energy, materials and goods as well as food and fiber. All else is your dribble. You are just moving around a dwindling wealth and at some point you have nothing left. Read your history. It is quite glaring in its accounting of past empires gone bust. Once you farm out the wealth generation to other sovereign nations, it’s only a matter of time before your economy shrinks down to insignificance. The wealthy in this country did not get that way by ignoring history’s lessons. Don’t be a fool.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 09:25 PM
AN50 I can’t understand what your talking about because you don’t know what your talking about. The US is #1 in electrical production and lumber production worldwide, 2nd in coal production, 3rd in oil production and vehicle production, and 4th in steel production. Nation by nation, our GDP (including services) is three time that of the next closest nation, and more than three times Chinas. So what are your saying? Were you afraid we where all sitting on our asses like you? What else don’t you know? If you are really interested in economics SBCC has introductory classes for cheap, or you can get a Phd from a great economics department at UCSB.
I must compliment you though, your a poster child for the tea partyers, an arrogant ignorant who is mad as hell about the way he thinks things are.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 10:23 PM
Oh so wrong…and ignorant. The real-world evidence confirms that Keynesianism is a failure. Indeed, it was a failure even before Keynes published The General Theory in the mid-1930s. Herbert Hoover was a poster-boy for big government, like our current poster-boy. He increased taxes dramatically, including a boost in the top tax rate from 25 percent to 63 percent. He imposed harsh protectionist policies. He significantly increased intervention in private markets. Most important, at least from a Keynesian perspective, he boosted government spending by 47 percent in just four years, our current poster-boy has done it in 18 months.
And he certainly had no problem financing that spending with debt. He entered office in 1929 when there was a surplus and he left office in 1933 with a deficit equaling 4.5 percent of GDP, now we are at 90% and climbing.
Needless to say, Hoover’s big-government Keynesian experiment was not very successful since growth went down and unemployment went up. And Bamas won’t be either.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 11:04 PM
Wow, some statistics! Thank you for proving the antithesis of your own proposition. Hoover raised taxes by 150% but only increased spending by 47%. Here you have in your own words proved he continued to constrain spending provoking the worst depression we have ever had.
You go on to point out that our national debt has increased by 20 times, but fail to mention that our GDP has increased by 30 times. The most obvious fact that every intelligent person but you recognizes is that the depression wouldn’t have ended but for the humongous deficits of WWII. Case closed.
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» on 06.07.10 @ 11:12 PM
Sorry, GDP increased 300 times.
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» on 06.08.10 @ 08:06 AM
Ya goota love Libs. I’m elite, I’m special, I’m smarter than you, I"m right - you’re wrong. Case closed. Not.
Unfortunately, Roosevelt followed the same path. The top tax rate was boosted to 79 percent and government intervention became universal. Government spending, of course, skyrocketed — rising by 106 percent between 1933 and 1940. This big-government approach didn’t work for Roosevelt any better than it did for Hoover. Unemployment remained very high throughout the 1930s and overall output did not get back to the 1929 level until World War II.
Other Keynesian episodes generated similarly dismal results. Gerald Ford did a Keynesian stimulus focused on tax rebates in the mid-1970s. The economy did not improve. But why would it? After all, borrowing money from one group and redistributing it to another group does nothing to increase economic output. Tax cuts only boost the economy if they reduce the tax penalty on work, saving, and investment — i.e., lower tax rates, not gimmicks.
More recently, George W. Bush gave out so-called rebate checks in 2001 and 2008, yet there was no positive effect in either case. And Bush certainly was a big spender, yet that didn’t work either. Not that this should be a big surprise. Even leftist international bureaucracies are showing that bigger government hurts economic performance by misallocating national resources.
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» on 06.08.10 @ 02:49 PM
Ok let’s try this again Ezzyme. If your annual family income was, let’s say, $75,000 last year but you spent $85,000 how did you make up the difference? Like most people you zipped down to the bank and borrowed the $10,000 and promised the bank repayment over time. Now comes this year. Your income was more this year because you earned more so you brought home $80,000. However your expenses are now more (had a baby, decided to clean up the trash in the yard etc.) so you spent $95,000. The bank, being very generous and believing in your earning power loaned you the $15,000 difference. The problem is each year you have less earning power proportional to your family size due to more restrictions and each year your expenses go up because you want to do more for your expanding family, so each year you borrow more and more to make up the difference. Get the picture? That is America for the last 50 years.
You point out that we make more electricity than anyone else, but fail to say that we use more than we make and borrow the rest from Canada. You point out that we are the third largest producer of oil, but fail to mention that we are the number one user of oil and buy the difference from others. You also point out that we are the 3rd largest automobile manufacturer, but fail to realize we consume more automobiles than we produce. In each case you point out the very weakness in our economy that I tried desperately to get you to see and that is we consume more than we make and that ends up as our accumulated public and private debt. Do you get that?
Keynesian economics proffers that moving money around stimulates economic growth. That is a bold faced lie. Economic growth can only come from adding value to your economy and just moving crap or transfering wealth adds no value and actually consumes it. Resource extraction on your own soil, agriculture on your own soil and manufacturing on your own soil are the three ways to add more value to your economy. But in the end you need to make more than you consume and have to have a market outside your economy to sell the surplus. That surplus is real wealth added. It expands the economic pie and makes for more all around (need an example, look at China today or OPEC, both examples of surplus economies).
Note to you partisans, nothing here suggest a favorite economic system (publicly owned or controlled versus private), just the simple truth of the bottom line. We need as a sovereign country and economy to make more wealth (added value) than we consume. Now of course we can consume quite a bit less and balance the payments that way. That of course means a much sparser and harder life for most. You can keep kicking the crap out of our ability to make wealth (insane regulations, environmental nonsense and anti competitive market rigging) and do with way less or you can help our industrial base make us prosperous and have more for all. But in the end you have to earn what you spend because there ain’t any wealth left to borrow. Is that clear enough for you Ezzyme?
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» on 06.22.10 @ 09:05 PM
Does it bother anybody else that Watson can’t spell, or even hire people who can? Or is this just what you’d expect of somebody who would obsess about a sidewalk project for heavens sake?
I just got push-polled by someone from his organization and was amused enough to look at his website. It contains sentences like this, above his signature:
“The United States has been lead away from those values into a fiscal and economic rut.” Is that “lead” as in “what capitalism turns into gold” or maybe as in “lead us not into temptation”? Or maybe the correct word “led” looks too much like “red”?
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» on 06.24.10 @ 03:16 AM
First off, putting in a sidewalk is a one time event, meaning there are no lasting jobs created by this phony “stimulus”. Capps is blowing smoke screens.
Second, both sides of the debate on this thread re the economy has missed a very important fact: the U.S. economy is a debt based economy simply by the fact that the U.S. government basically borrows all of the money it spends from others, including the Federal Reserve Bank.
It’s my understanding that the Federal Reserve Bank is a private, for profit institution.
While the U.S. Constitution states that only Congress can coin money, Congress gave that authority away thru the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. Since then, every dollar that the U.S. government puts into circulation is actually borrowed from the Federal Reserve Bank - at interest - which is not printed. So if the Federal Reserve Bank loans the U.S. government $100.00 at 1% interest, where is the U.S. government going to get the $1.00 to pay the interest due? The $1.00 bill was never printed, it doesn’t exist, so it can’t be used to pay the interest.
Also note that the U.S. Mint prints all currency, but ever since 1913, it prints it at the request of the Federal Reserve Bank, not Congress. So when Congress decides to spend more U.S. dollars, it needs them printed, so it goes to the Federal Reserve Bank and says, we need $100.00. The Federal Reserve says, OK, we’ll loan you $100.00 at 1% interest and goes to the U.S. Mint and puts in their order to have the Mint print $100.00 for them. The Federal Reserve Bank pays the U.S. Mint for printing the $100.00 but only pays them what amounts to the cost of the paper and ink, that’s it. So they’ve basically printed money out of thin air, as it’s not backed by anything of tangible value, and then turns around and loans it to the American people at interest. Great money-making scam, isn’t it? Pay out maybe .02 on every piece of paper - could be $1,000. bills they’re printing, but only pay for the cost of the paper and ink, yet collect $1,000. + interest in return.
They’ve got a great scam going, and there is absolutely no way for the American people to get out of debt in this type of scenario. In other words, the Federal Reserve Bank owns and runs this country as the interest due to the Federal Reserve Bank keeps growing and is approaching the GDP.
Now who owns the Federal Reserve Bank? That’s an interesting question. Let’s see, their meetings are private, and according to Greenspan’s own admission, they are not regulated by any laws the U.S. government puts forth - yes, he said that on national television, you can watch it on YouTube - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ol3mEe8TH7w . Anyway, it’s my understanding that most of the shareholders of the Federal Reserve Bank are old European bankers, including the British Crown.
So to all those who think this debt has been acquired in the last 50 years, it’s really been over the last 97 years.
I urge people to read Reagan’s Grace Commission Report. He requested an investigation into how our tax dollars are being spent and the answer is:
“The first 2/3 of the income tax is either wasted or lost. Of the remaining 1/3, every dime of IRS income tax goes to private lenders for interest only on the exponentially escalating national debt. This fact was revealed by the Grace Commission (PPSS) in the Reagan Administration. Not one dime goes to reduce the national debt or run our government. Therefore, Congress must borrow more to pay for its ways to help the people by helping them out of their money. Congress does this by borrowing from the unconstitutional Fed, raising taxes to pay the debt to the owners of the Fed, and raiding the Social Security Fund, which is now missing $4 trillion. Clinton stole $10 billion from the Social Security Fund to bomb Kosovo. That could have given the retired people a nice raise. Those people did not pay into Social Security all their lives to enable Clinton to bomb Kosovo, or to raise the national debt by letting Congress cook the books.
Common sense reveals that the national debt continues to increase, since nothing goes to reduce it.” http://www.uhuh.com/taxstuff/list-gra.htm
Congressman Ron Paul has introduced H.R. 1207 to audit the Federal Reserve Bank - which has never been audited in it’s entire 97 year history of existence. Interesting how they can audit us through the IRS to make sure they get their interest payment, but no one can audit them, isn’t it? While Congressman Paul has been able to get 320 co-sponsors, both Republican and some Democrats, Ms. Capps is not one of them, and I say, “shame” on her.
It’s blatantly clear to me that anyone who does not support this piece of legislation has not taken their oath to defend and support the U.S. Constitution seriously, nor do they take their job of working in the best interest of the American people and the U.S. government seriously as they must be thinking of what’s in the best interest of the privately owned Federal Reserve Bank and its shareholders, who are foreign bankers.
Bottom line, Ms. Capps needs to go home and stay away from politics forever. I consider her nothing more than Pelosi’s pawn/vote and has never truly worked in the best interest of me, or of anyone I know personally. Her photo op smiles, even in the midst of natural disasters, are juvenile and an insult. It appears she takes nothing seriously and does what her boss Pelosi tells her to do. I find her absolutely incompetent.
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